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El-Sayed Widens Lead to 7 Points in New Michigan Senate Poll as Election Nears

A Mitchell Research poll for CBS Detroit has Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Mike Rogers 51% to 44% among likely voters, though other recent polls show a closer race.

Abdul El-Sayed speaking at a campaign meet-and-greet in front of an "Abdul for US Senate" banner
Photo: Conlan Houston, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers 51% to 44% among likely voters in Michigan’s U.S. Senate race, with 3% undecided, according to a new Mitchell Research & Communications poll [1].

The survey of 636 likely voters was conducted Oct. 26–27 for CBS Detroit and other Michigan television stations and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points [1]. In Mitchell’s Oct. 1 poll, El-Sayed led 45.6% to 41.4% [1].

“El-Sayed is in the driver’s seat for a big victory on November 3rd,” the researchers said [1].

Other recent polls show a closer race. A Glengariff Group poll dated Oct. 27 had El-Sayed ahead 51% to 45%, a Michigan State University poll dated Oct. 26 had him ahead 48% to 46%, and an InsiderAdvantage poll dated Oct. 23 had him ahead 47% to 46%. The 270toWin average of five recent polls puts El-Sayed at 49.0% and Rogers at 45.4% [2].

El-Sayed is campaigning to become the first Muslim U.S. senator [3]. The winner of the Nov. 3 election will replace retiring Sen. Gary Peters [4].

Sources

  1. CBS Detroit, “Abdul El-Sayed widens lead over Mike Rogers to 7 points in newest Michigan Senate poll,” Oct. 28, 2026
  2. 270toWin, “2026 Polls: Michigan Senate”
  3. The Detroit News, “Abdul El-Sayed campaigns to become first Muslim US senator,” Sept. 22, 2026
  4. WXYZ, “WXYZ-TV hosting U.S. Senate debate between Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed”

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